The crypto market could have collapsed after Jerome Powell's heavily hawkish speech in Jackson Hole. That day, the leading tokens, bitcoin and ethereum lost 4% and 9%, respectively, and continued their declines over the weekend, reaching levels not seen in two months.
On the Conotoxia MT5 platform, bitcoin is losing 0.5% today at 10:30 GMT+3. After breaking through the likely support level of $20750 on Friday, the token may have entered a short consolidation phase. However, given the potentially high level of pessimism in the market, it may be expected that this will not last long, with possible further downward movements ahead.
The BTC price is far below the 10-, 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. The nearest possible support levels are around $19300 and $18600. The MACD indicator and the directional indicator seem to indicate the continuation of the downtrend. The RSI oscillator may foretell its reversal, slowly entering the overbought area. However, since oscillators can usually give signals well ahead, one should be very cautious about this signal.
On the Conotoxia MT5 platform, ethereum is losing 2% today at 10:30 GMT+3. The token tested the likely support level of $1530 on Friday, then broke through it on Saturday. Unlike BTC, ETH has had a much more intense series of rises, and the potential for continued declines maybe even more tremendous. That's probably why the cryptocurrency hasn't even entered a short consolidation phase like BTC, and instead is set lower and lower on successive daily candles.
ETH is also below the 10-, 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. Popular technical indicators (RSI, directional indicator and MACD) seem to point to a continuation of declines. Even the RSI, which may look optimistic for BTC, has yet to reach the overbought area for ETH.
On the Conotoxia MT5 platform, the Cardano project's native token (ADA) is losing strongly today, falling nearly 2.5% at 11:00 GMT+3. Cardano is an ecosystem that allows developers to create tokens and decentralized applications (dApps) within DeFi. ADA uses the Proof-of-Stake (POS) blockchain. For a long time, the project has been considered one of the 10 best projects in the crypto world, according to a Forbes ranking. Currently, the token is most likely following the market and seems to be recovering from the increases over the last two months.
The current declines in the crypto market may continue after the Fed chairman's hawkish speech. The expected pivot in monetary policy is likely to happen, but much later than investors anticipated. In the short to medium term, the speculative nature of cryptocurrencies and optimism about blockchain technology could be stifled by the recession, high-interest rates and lower disposable income.
Rafał Tworkowski, Junior Market Analyst, Conotoxia Ltd. (Conotoxia investment service)
Materials, analysis and opinions contained, referenced or provided herein are intended solely for informational and educational purposes. Personal opinion of the author does not represent and should not be constructed as a statement or an investment advice made by Conotoxia Ltd. All indiscriminate reliance on illustrative or informational materials may lead to losses. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
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