Bitcoin and Ethereum are losing along with the rest of the markets after two days of powerful gains - is the Fed's pivot coming?

05.10.2022 15:12|Conotoxia Ltd Analyst Team

Leading cryptocurrencies such as BTC, and ETH are experiencing a minimal correction after two strong days of gains. Tokens are losing along with equity indexes (S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite), which rose the most in the previous session since the recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic.

What drives the last surge?

The strong movements in the markets appear to be driven by the Bank of England's intervention, requests from the UN and others to stop interest rate hikes and weak readings from the US labour market. These developments may indicate a long-awaited turn in monetary policy, and investors seem to be increasingly recognising this.

Bitcoin

After 2 weeks full of volatility and testing a possible support level of $18800 and substantial gains, the largest cryptocurrency is losing 1.1 % today on the Conotoxia cTrader platform at 11:30 UTC+2. The price, after yesterday's breakout of the 10-day and 20-day moving averages, is approaching the 50-day average, which could be local resistance. The readings of the MACD indicator seem to confirm a possible continuation of the increases. The RSI, on the other hand, is in the neutral zone and does not generate a potential overbought or oversold signal.

BTC price, daily candles

Bitcoin chart

Source: Conotoxia cTrader

Ethereum

ETH is also experiencing a correction, recording a daily decline of 1.5 % on the Conotoxia cTrader platform at 11:30 UTC+2. The price of the token has lost significantly since Merge, the move to more efficient blockchain technology. After more than 1.5 months of strong gains in July and August before this event, the cryptocurrency gained a lot of room for potential declines, which eventually followed. Since its peak on 13 August, ETH has lost more than 32%. 

The token then tested a possible support level near $1285. The price is still below the 100, 50 and 20-day moving averages. However, the MACD indicator may indicate a potential rebound, while the RSI oscillator cannot generate a clear signal as it is between overbought and oversold levels.

ETH price, daily candles

Ethereum price

Source: Conotoxia cTrader

Like stocks and bonds, the cryptocurrency market may be in a severe bear market. However, high inflation and expectations of an ever-closer change of course in the monetary policy of the FED and other central banks seem to indicate a possible upcoming rebound in the medium term. 

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Rafał Tworkowski, Junior Market Analyst, Conotoxia Ltd. (Conotoxia investment service)

Materials, analysis and opinions contained, referenced or provided herein are intended solely for informational and educational purposes. Personal opinion of the author does not represent and should not be constructed as a statement or an investment advice made by Conotoxia Ltd. All indiscriminate reliance on illustrative or informational materials may lead to losses. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.

 

 
 

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